Formula and example
Baseline: who you pay for
The baseline is the condition for a player to count for the affiliate: for example, deposits of €50 or more, or turnover of €200 or more, in the first 30 days. Without a baseline, the affiliate also gets CPA for players with a single €10 deposit who will never come back.
CPA or revshare
With CPA, the casino pays up front and carries the traffic quality risk. With revshare, it pays a percentage of NGR over a long period and shares the risk with the affiliate. A hybrid: a small CPA plus a reduced revshare.
To compare the models, calculate the full cost of a player from the 1st to the 5th deposit, CPA and revshare included, against their LTV for each source.
Common mistakes
- Paying for FTDs without a baseline. The cheapest way to buy lots of empty first deposits.
- Not tracking second deposits by affiliate. Source quality shows in retention, not in the number of FTDs.
- No fraud checks. Multi-accounts and incentivised traffic are the first to eat the CPA budget.