Formula and example
Inactivity window
A single "30 days without a deposit" rule for everyone does not work. For a player who deposits every day, a quiet week is already churn. For someone who comes once a month, 30 days without a deposit is normal.
Set the window from the usual rhythm of the player or the segment: for example, when two or three of their usual intervals between deposits have been missed.
The earliest signal: a broken rhythm
A player deposited on Fridays and missed a Friday. You can see it the same day, and the same day they need a reason to come back. A month later, when the player formally counts as churned, winning them back will cost more.
Common mistakes
- Measuring activity by logins. The player logs in but does not deposit: in money terms, they have already left.
- Mixing new players with the existing base. New players leave faster, and overall churn hides the problem of the first days. Look at it by cohort.
- Not excluding self-exclusions and limits. These players left by their own choice or under responsible gambling rules. They are not counted as churn for CRM and are not reactivated.